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Forecasting load and generation in distribution grids

Machine-learning services forecast transformer load and distributed generation inside a distribution management system.

Machine-learning services forecast transformer load and distributed generation inside a distribution management system.

Energy and utilities
Load and generation forecasting
Smart-grid planning

Challenge

Distribution grid operators need load and generation forecasts across multiple areas and facilities to support operations planning, feeder reconfiguration and renewable integration.

Data

The module uses transformer loads, renewable plant generation, meteorological conditions, calendar variables and area/facility metadata from the TPC database.

Solution

Artelnics implemented load and generation forecasting services with clustering, model training, forecast execution, validation metrics and database-backed deployment.

Forecast types

Short-term, medium-term and long-term load and generation forecasts.

Deployment

Services integrated with a distribution forecast module.

Results

The system provides forecasts for operations analysis and planning, helping distribution management systems evaluate future load, generation and network conditions.

Illustrations

Transformer and station assignment in a distribution grid
Transformer station assignment
Forecasting workflow for demand prediction
Demand forecasting diagram